Wednesday 19 December 2012

3pm update - even sp'1420 is no good

With the indexes showing a little weakness, even if we slip all the way into the close, and even open lower tomorrow, its not going to be enough to decisively break the up trend. Even sp'1420 is not good enough, as a number of the daily charts clearly support.


sp'daily5



sp'daily7 - fib levels.


Summary

I think the fib' chart is especially interesting, as it highlights that even a retracement to the low 1420s is just nothing in the scheme of things.

VIX is back in the low 17s, but as noted, this is more about contracts rolling over into the next month than anything else.



So, for me, it remains the case that until sp<1413, I just can't take any of this seriously.

UPDATE 3.20pm A eenewed little wave of weakness across the indexes - although Trans and R2K are still higher. A close in the low sp'1430s very viable, not that it counts for much.

Even Queen cheer leader on clown network, Ms. Bartiromo seems tired of the political games.


sp'60min


 back after the close