Thursday 4 October 2012

Daily Index Cycle update

The broader market closed moderately higher, with the transports leading the way. The daily charts are still sporting large bear flags - now 5 days in duration. If we can break below, there is a fair bit of easy downside available to at least sp'1420.


IWM



Sp'daily5



Transports


Summary

A bit of a mixed day, and for a few hours, it looks like we might closed much higher as the SP' teasingly tested the upper channel @ 1454/55. That held, although we closed pretty close to it.

Arguably, bulls can still feel pretty confident on a multi-week basis, unlike the bears who are on the verge of seeing new index highs.

The transports lead the way higher, after one airline (I forget which one), had slightly higher passenger numbers. The falling oil prices also helped overall sentiment for the airline sector.

With the VIX closing lower, Mr Market remains extremely complacent, and the algo-bots are still able to meltup this market on what is still very low volume.

A little more later...on WTIC Oil.