Thursday 13 September 2012

3pm update - spiky top ?

The daily cycle has hit and pretty significantly exceeded my original target of sp'1445.

Frankly, the bears really need the market to close under sp'1450 today., which currently looks unlikely Anything over that, and its suggestive of maybe a further few up days in the 1455/65 range.


sp'daily5



sp'60min



vix'60min


Summary

Well, Fed days are often stomach churning, and this one is certainly pretty intense. The move into the 1460s is a somewhat disturbing thing to see.

VIX fails to hold the recent low of 14.00, although it might just be a spiky floor.

I will hold short, and my first target is sp'1420, end month.

More after the close