Wednesday 11 July 2012

3pm update - glad to be a spectator

As a permabear, I'm naturally inclined to be in a permanent state of 'shortness', but no..not today. Its actually quite nice to be watching this nonsense, with no real concern for which way Mr Market finally decides to take.

The initial fall looks significant to some...but not to me. Both micro 15/60 micro-cycles are looking low, this is not a good level to be short.


sp'15min


Looks like a floor to me on the cycle.


sp'60min


Summary

A fair few out there are getting mildly hysterical at the index declines since the Fed press release, the VIX remains barely green though. That is a pretty lousy reaction, and still warns of a fearless market.

As noted, I'm sitting this out until tomorrow. There is no hurry right now to get back on the short-train.

More after the close.