Friday 11 May 2012

The market trend IS down

Despite the mild hysteria from the hosts on the clown channels today - due to the sight of moderately green indexes, the broader trends are still warning of major downside. Lets just keep this very simple...but elegant chart in mind!


Sp'monthly, 6yr


Only if we break the previous sp'1422 peak can anyone justifiably get bullish again. Arguably, the shorter term traders should at least have somewhat tighter short-stops around 1385/95.

Friday will be interesting. I'm not sure if I'll risk taking a brief long trade - in anticipation of the C' wave up. A move from 1350 to 1375/80 would be pretty profitable, but its certainly not without some moderate risk. As noted earlier, with Futures -10 (as at 6.35pm EST), we are dangerously close (just 5pts) from taking out the previous low of 1343. 

Right now, I'd guess futures recover a little overnight, with a floor early Friday morning around sp'1352/48, and that we do still see a C' wave peak early next week.

Goodnight from London