Wednesday 30 May 2012

1pm update - all aboard the bear train

Whilst lightning bolts start to rain down outside (a very appropriate mood setter), I've a screen of red. After yesterdays latest nonsense, once again 'reality' returns to our favourite casino. How long will the break from the delusion that 'everything is fine' last? A day, a week..or even into late June?

The primary monthly cycle target remains sp'1100. In this new wave lower, a move to at least 1280..possibly 1225/00 seems viable - if the market finally gets spooked, so look to the VIX.


Sp'60min



Vix'60min


Summary

VIX is confirming everything very well, a close in the 24s would easily suffice..and it opens up a jump to the high 20s by the Friday close.

*look to the Sp' breaking 1305 (lower channel of the daily bear flag), and then a fast move under 1300...to confirm both the daily and hourly cycle flags.
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Much more later...those daily charts will be paramount to focus on after the close.